Part of: Alaska Governor Election Winner
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
This Polymarket asks whether Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins will win Alaska’s November 3, 2026 gubernatorial election. The supplied market data does not include a current odds percentage; it shows $5,363 in tracked smart money and one signal. The market resolves when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC call the race for the same candidate, or to “Other” if results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,363.
Categories: Alaska Midterm, Governor Elections, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20, Midterms, Elections, Politics, US Election, Global Elections, United States, Key Governor Races
Notable Trades
Serial trader adds to Yes position
A serial cross-market trader added a sizable Yes position in a quiet market, though their 74% win rate is not clearly above their average winning entry price.
- This trader has placed bets across 25 events and reports $174k in profit on 38 resolved positions.
- The $5,363 buy was over five times the market’s 24-hour volume and adds to an existing Yes position.
- They entered at 87¢, close to the current 88¢ odds; their 74% win rate is not a clear edge at that price.
$5,363 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x1fee...ed5e — No, $46,411 (88% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $46,217
- 0x0c0e...434e — Yes, $32,449 (63% win rate)
- 0x000d...758e — Yes, $11,602 (86% win rate)
- 0x9648...6825 — No, $8,480 (72% win rate)
- 0xa30e...49d5 — Yes, $8,000 (97% win rate)
- 0xc301...66aa — Yes, $6,041 (70% win rate)
- 0x7b7a...9bdb — No, $4,294
- 0x8a69...a197 — Yes, $4,000
- 0xbacd...ab35 — Yes, $3,367 (48% win rate)
Related Theses
Kreiss-Tomkins wins Alaska governor race
Covers 1 related market
Neither Bolsonaro nor Lula wins
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Yashar will win most seats
Covers 2 related markets
