Part of: 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $133,029.

Categories: Elections, World, Politics, Global Elections, South Korea, Main Election, World Elections

Notable Trades

New whale flips to No

A 1-day-old wallet with $74k in repeat flagged activity has flipped from a large prior Yes position into No during a major volume surge on a political market.

  • This brand-new wallet has already placed $74k in flagged bets across 6 positions.
  • They previously built a much larger Yes position here, then closed it and are now buying No.
  • Market volume spiked 58x versus normal, with a 13-point move in the last day.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

4-wallet Yes cluster

High-scoring coordinated Yes flow with a 4-wallet cluster, major volume spike, and a seasoned cross-market trader participating.

  • Four wallets put $13.5K on the same side, buying Yes around 55¢.
  • Market activity surged 58x normal volume, with Yes up 13 points over the past day.
  • One participant is a serial cross-market trader with 815 resolved bets and $34.6K lifetime profit.

$13,537 on Yes

New wallet net No

A 1-day-old repeat large bettor put $17.7k into this Korean election market amid a major volume spike, ending with net No exposure despite some hedging.

  • A brand-new wallet has already triggered 19 large-bet alerts, with $74k flagged across 5 positions.
  • This market saw roughly 65x–73x normal volume, suggesting a sudden rush of attention.
  • The wallet bought both sides but finished with more No exposure at about 44¢.

$17,683 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

New whale net Yes

A brand-new wallet put over $31k into a volatile Korean election market, with net Yes exposure alongside a major volume spike and one-sided Yes flow from other wallets.

  • A 1-day-old wallet placed $31k in this market and is already repeat-flagged across $68k of large bets.
  • Despite buying both sides, the wallet is net long Yes after loading up around 40–43¢ before the price jumped to 63¢.
  • Market activity spiked more than 60x normal volume, with 3 wallets also buying Yes in the same window.

$31,195 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp bettor joins No cluster

A profitable 78% winner and a repeat new-wallet whale joined one-sided No flow during an 87x volume spike that moved the market sharply.

  • A bettor who wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $92.6k bought $13.3k of No.
  • Three wallets put $23k on No during an 87x volume spike, pushing Yes down about 10 points in two minutes.
  • One wallet is only 1 day old but has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts totaling $63k.

$23,036 on No

78% winner buying Yes

A profitable 78% winner with $90k lifetime profit is buying Yes into a large volume spike on a Korean gubernatorial election market.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $90,413 lifetime.
  • The wallet has been flagged 5 times before and is taking a fresh $2.6k Yes position.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running 68.5x above its historical average.

$2,555 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable sharp flipped Yes

Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win record made a notable, mixed-direction trade sequence, with the latest leg buying Yes into strong upward momentum.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $90k lifetime.
  • The latest trade bought Yes at 73¢, now 76¢, as the market jumped 34 points today.
  • They also bought No earlier, so this looks like a fast hedge or position change rather than a clean one-way bet.

$4,838 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

83% winner buying politics

Surfaced despite a weak price-impact signal because the buyer has a long profitable history with an 83% resolved-bet win rate.

  • This bettor has won 83% of 917 resolved bets and is up $11.6k lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 77¢ on a political market with heavy recent movement and a wide 11¢ spread.
  • The market is now around 70¢, giving a cheaper entry than the sharp bettor paid.

$1,019 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

New whale betting No

New 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets totaling about $49k and is adding a $7.5k No position in a political market with recent price momentum against Kim.

  • This 8-day-old wallet has now been flagged 8 times for large bets, totaling about $49k.
  • They bought $7.5k of No while Kim’s odds have fallen 18 points over the past week.
  • The same wallet has $36k across related election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.

$7,533 on No

8-day wallet scaling NO

An 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets across this election event, now adding $2.8k on No in a niche political market.

  • This new wallet has already had 6 large-bet flags totaling about $23k.
  • They have $13k positioned across 2 markets in the same election event, suggesting a focused political thesis.
  • Buying No at 60¢ implies they see Kim Kyung-soo as less likely than the market’s 40% Yes price.

$2,826 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 33884884, $116,840
  2. 0x2f1a...bfa2 Outcome 10619480, $20,176
  3. 0x7bc1...8db4 Outcome 10619480, $11,583 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x3504...3e45 Outcome 10619480, $10,409
  5. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 10619480, $6,719
  6. 0x19e8...405f Outcome 10619480, $5,703 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x08d2...9273 Outcome 10619480, $5,682
  8. 0xff9e...56a1 Outcome 10619480, $3,762 (43% win rate)
  9. 0x7616...69ee Outcome 10619480, $3,054 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x4f1d...8de2 Outcome 10619480, $2,767 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency

Covers 2 related markets

SpaceX IPO pricing volatile

Covers 3 related markets

Neither Chong nor Oh wins

Covers 2 related markets

LeBron returns to Miami

Covers 4 related markets

Espriella loses Bogotá runoff

Covers 1 related market

France wins by three plus

Covers 1 related market

Choo wins Daegu mayoral race

Covers 2 related markets

Sánchez Palomino wins presidency

Covers 2 related markets

Park or Kim wins Gyeongnam

Covers 2 related markets

Panama Croatia corners stay low

Covers 1 related market

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Resolved2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner$133,029 tracked14 signalsElectionsWorldPoliticsGlobal ElectionsSouth KoreaMain ElectionWorld Elections

The 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next Governor of Gyeongsangnam Province. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

Notable Trades

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$1,000 on No at 50¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$13,537 on Yes at 55¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$17,683 on No at 44¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$31,195 on Yes at 41¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$23,036 on No at 41¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$2,555 on Yes at 73¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$4,838 on Yes at 73¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$1,019 on Yes at 77¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$7,533 on No at 62¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$2,826 on No at 60¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$6,018 on Yes at 41¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$13,372 on Yes at 41¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

46d ago

$7,354 on Yes at 41¢

Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

47d ago

$1,062 on No at 59¢

Related Theses