Part of: 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $133,029.
Categories: Elections, World, Politics, Global Elections, South Korea, Main Election, World Elections
Notable Trades
New whale flips to No
A 1-day-old wallet with $74k in repeat flagged activity has flipped from a large prior Yes position into No during a major volume surge on a political market.
- This brand-new wallet has already placed $74k in flagged bets across 6 positions.
- They previously built a much larger Yes position here, then closed it and are now buying No.
- Market volume spiked 58x versus normal, with a 13-point move in the last day.
$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
4-wallet Yes cluster
High-scoring coordinated Yes flow with a 4-wallet cluster, major volume spike, and a seasoned cross-market trader participating.
- Four wallets put $13.5K on the same side, buying Yes around 55¢.
- Market activity surged 58x normal volume, with Yes up 13 points over the past day.
- One participant is a serial cross-market trader with 815 resolved bets and $34.6K lifetime profit.
$13,537 on Yes
New wallet net No
A 1-day-old repeat large bettor put $17.7k into this Korean election market amid a major volume spike, ending with net No exposure despite some hedging.
- A brand-new wallet has already triggered 19 large-bet alerts, with $74k flagged across 5 positions.
- This market saw roughly 65x–73x normal volume, suggesting a sudden rush of attention.
- The wallet bought both sides but finished with more No exposure at about 44¢.
$17,683 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
New whale net Yes
A brand-new wallet put over $31k into a volatile Korean election market, with net Yes exposure alongside a major volume spike and one-sided Yes flow from other wallets.
- A 1-day-old wallet placed $31k in this market and is already repeat-flagged across $68k of large bets.
- Despite buying both sides, the wallet is net long Yes after loading up around 40–43¢ before the price jumped to 63¢.
- Market activity spiked more than 60x normal volume, with 3 wallets also buying Yes in the same window.
$31,195 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp bettor joins No cluster
A profitable 78% winner and a repeat new-wallet whale joined one-sided No flow during an 87x volume spike that moved the market sharply.
- A bettor who wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $92.6k bought $13.3k of No.
- Three wallets put $23k on No during an 87x volume spike, pushing Yes down about 10 points in two minutes.
- One wallet is only 1 day old but has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts totaling $63k.
$23,036 on No
78% winner buying Yes
A profitable 78% winner with $90k lifetime profit is buying Yes into a large volume spike on a Korean gubernatorial election market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $90,413 lifetime.
- The wallet has been flagged 5 times before and is taking a fresh $2.6k Yes position.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 68.5x above its historical average.
$2,555 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable sharp flipped Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win record made a notable, mixed-direction trade sequence, with the latest leg buying Yes into strong upward momentum.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $90k lifetime.
- The latest trade bought Yes at 73¢, now 76¢, as the market jumped 34 points today.
- They also bought No earlier, so this looks like a fast hedge or position change rather than a clean one-way bet.
$4,838 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
83% winner buying politics
Surfaced despite a weak price-impact signal because the buyer has a long profitable history with an 83% resolved-bet win rate.
- This bettor has won 83% of 917 resolved bets and is up $11.6k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 77¢ on a political market with heavy recent movement and a wide 11¢ spread.
- The market is now around 70¢, giving a cheaper entry than the sharp bettor paid.
$1,019 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
New whale betting No
New 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets totaling about $49k and is adding a $7.5k No position in a political market with recent price momentum against Kim.
- This 8-day-old wallet has now been flagged 8 times for large bets, totaling about $49k.
- They bought $7.5k of No while Kim’s odds have fallen 18 points over the past week.
- The same wallet has $36k across related election markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
$7,533 on No
8-day wallet scaling NO
An 8-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets across this election event, now adding $2.8k on No in a niche political market.
- This new wallet has already had 6 large-bet flags totaling about $23k.
- They have $13k positioned across 2 markets in the same election event, suggesting a focused political thesis.
- Buying No at 60¢ implies they see Kim Kyung-soo as less likely than the market’s 40% Yes price.
$2,826 on No
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 33884884, $116,840
- 0x2f1a...bfa2 — Outcome 10619480, $20,176
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 10619480, $11,583 (67% win rate)
- 0x3504...3e45 — Outcome 10619480, $10,409
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 10619480, $6,719
- 0x19e8...405f — Outcome 10619480, $5,703 (77% win rate)
- 0x08d2...9273 — Outcome 10619480, $5,682
- 0xff9e...56a1 — Outcome 10619480, $3,762 (43% win rate)
- 0x7616...69ee — Outcome 10619480, $3,054 (71% win rate)
- 0x4f1d...8de2 — Outcome 10619480, $2,767 (78% win rate)
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