Part of: Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,210.
Categories: Politics, Likud, Elections, Global Elections, Israel, netanyahu, Israel Election, International Election Props
Notable Trades
Three profitable traders shifting toward Yes
Three profitable, high-volume traders simultaneously sold No, creating equivalent Yes exposure, though existing positions suggest these may be exits rather than fresh bets.
- Three wallets sold $11.4K of No, equivalent to buying Yes around 14¢.
- The traders have 62–70% win rates and are collectively profitable, including one up over $304K.
- Existing No positions suggest this could be position management, not entirely fresh conviction; Yes has risen 6.3% this week.
$4,210 on Yes
