Part of: Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

This prediction market tracks whether Olivia Chow will win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, currently scheduled for October 26, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $4,390 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market; check the live market price for the latest implied odds. The market resolves based on who becomes Toronto’s next mayor as a result of the election, with an “Other” resolution if the result is not known by June 30, 2027.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,390.

Categories: Canada, Politics, Toronto, Elections, Global Elections, Mayoral Elections, World Elections, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50, Main Election

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor in quiet market

A historically profitable high-volume wallet placed a large buy that dwarfs recent activity in a very quiet Toronto mayoral market.

  • This bettor is up about $198k lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved markets.
  • The $4.4k buy was massive for this market, equal to hundreds of times the past day’s volume.
  • They bought Yes at 77¢, suggesting strong confidence Olivia Chow remains heavily favored.

$4,390 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0xecb1...5da3 Yes, $6,790 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $3,275
  3. 0xf933...4069 No, $2,500
  4. 0x2c41...133e Yes, $597 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x0362...449e Yes, $500
  6. 0xe43d...f095 No, $479
  7. 0x6f67...102c No, $361
  8. 0x1847...460f Yes, $325
  9. 0x21ff...0d71 No, $312
  10. 0xa5e3...4d7e No, $245 (19% win rate)

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Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

148dToronto Mayoral Election Winner$4,390 tracked1 signalCanadaPoliticsTorontoElectionsGlobal ElectionsMayoral ElectionsWorld ElectionsRewards 20, 4.5, 50Main Election
Yes
82¢
No
19¢

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Price History — “Yes
83¢
78¢
73¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

21h ago

$4,390 on Yes at 77¢

77¢82¢5¢

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