Part of: Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?

Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,581.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, California Governor

Notable Trades

13-hour repeat political bettor

A 13-hour-old repeat bettor is continuing to back Yes on a niche California politics market after a sharp 24h move higher.

  • A brand-new wallet has now made 6 flagged large bets totaling $13.2k.
  • They bought Yes at 89¢ after the market jumped 34.5 points in 24 hours.
  • The market is still relatively thin, so repeated buying at this price suggests strong conviction.

$1,312 on Yes

Profitable serial politics bettor

A highly profitable serial political trader bought Yes in a quiet California governor primary market, with the trade dwarfing recent volume.

  • This bettor has 883 resolved trades and is up about $778K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 97 events with over $1.1M tracked in similar activity.
  • The $3.3K buy was 86x the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling conviction in a quiet market.

$3,269 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0xecaa...77a9 Outcome 84675347, $26,479 (72% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 92168440, $21,830
  3. 0xd426...334a Outcome 92168440, $500 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x0781...c4ff Outcome 92168440, $406
  5. 0x38e5...95e7 Outcome 92168440, $368 (77% win rate)
  6. 0xecb2...a30c Outcome 92168440, $223
  7. 0x75d1...7a5f Outcome 92168440, $187
  8. 0xe372...eb38 Outcome 84675347, $134
  9. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 92168440, $64
  10. 0xa3c2...df3d Outcome 92168440, $59

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Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

ResolvedParties advancing from the California Governor primary?$4,581 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesCalifornia Governor

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party. In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other". If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

Notable Trades

Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

44d ago

$1,312 on Yes at 89¢

Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

50d ago

$3,269 on Yes at 77¢

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