Part of: South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff. If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election. If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
24 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,262.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, Senate Primary, South Carolina, primary elections, Republican Primary, Lindsey Graham, US Election, August 11 Primaries, USA Election
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$1,260 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$2,768 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$1,054 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$3,135 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate and $356,666 lifetime profit is adding $3,690 to an existing No position at 87%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,086 resolved trades and earned $356,666 in profit.
- They are adding $3,690 to an existing No position, reinforcing the view that Ralph Norman will not win the nomination.
- The 87¢ entry implies the trader sees roughly an 88% chance of No, consistent with the current market but backed by substantial experience.
$11,219 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$4,013 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable serial trader scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate and $356,666 lifetime profit is adding $3,690 to an existing No position at 87%.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,086 resolved trades and earned $356,666 in profit.
- They are adding $3,690 to an existing No position, reinforcing the view that Ralph Norman will not win the nomination.
- The 87¢ entry implies the trader sees roughly an 88% chance of No, consistent with the current market but backed by substantial experience.
$6,518 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
82% win-rate bettor adds to Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and $808,398 lifetime profit is adding to an existing Yes position as the market has risen 27% in a week.
- This bettor wins 82% of 1,533 resolved positions and is up $808,398 lifetime.
- The $2,220 purchase adds to a $21,337 Yes position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- Yes has climbed 27% over the past week, while the entry remains 37¢ in a liquid market.
$1,843 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
82% win-rate bettor adds to Yes
A highly profitable serial trader with an 82% win rate and $808,398 lifetime profit is adding to an existing Yes position as the market has risen 27% in a week.
- This bettor wins 82% of 1,533 resolved positions and is up $808,398 lifetime.
- The $2,220 purchase adds to a $21,337 Yes position, signaling continued conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- Yes has climbed 27% over the past week, while the entry remains 37¢ in a liquid market.
$3,201 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No at 87%, though the position is modest and partly complicated by a large existing Yes holding.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,083 resolved trades and is up $356,535 lifetime.
- The wallet has traded across 427 events, giving its directional positioning more weight than an isolated bet.
- No was bought at 87¢ while the market currently prices it near 86%, so the edge appears modest and the wallet also holds a large Yes position.
$2,502 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
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