Part of: Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,289.
Categories: Politics, World, Geopolitics, Russia Capture, Ukraine Map, Ukraine
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market specialist
Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a YES position across several related Russia/Kostyantynivka markets amid a sharp 1-day price move.
- This trader is up $364K lifetime and has traded 247 markets across 161 events.
- They have $13.8K across five related markets and are adding to the same YES view here.
- The market is up 29.5 points in 24h, and this 80¢ entry has already moved to about 85¢.
$1,395 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable cross-market specialist
Profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a YES position across several related Russia/Kostyantynivka markets amid a sharp 1-day price move.
- This trader is up $364K lifetime and has traded 247 markets across 161 events.
- They have $13.8K across five related markets and are adding to the same YES view here.
- The market is up 29.5 points in 24h, and this 80¢ entry has already moved to about 85¢.
$3,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes in a thin Ukraine war market, taking a large share of recent volume and catching a sharp move from 32¢ to 58¢.
- This bettor has traded 172 related event markets and is up about $297K lifetime.
- They bought $2.8K of Yes in a thin market with only $4.4K of 24h volume.
- One fill came at 32¢ before the market moved to 58¢, suggesting they caught a major repricing.
$2,753 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x798f...d7d3 — Outcome 10201434, $134,588
- 0xff34...bf20 — Outcome 10201434, $38,546
- 0xe306...9be0 — Outcome 10201434, $2,828
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 10201434, $2,500 (63% win rate)
- 0xe6fd...8bc3 — Outcome 10201434, $2,442 (54% win rate)
- 0x74b5...9cde — Outcome 10201434, $1,874
- 0xb1fe...423a — Outcome 10201434, $1,502
- 0xdf34...dc86 — Outcome 10201434, $1,249
- 0x1320...f448 — Outcome 10201434, $1,132
- 0xfe49...7a4c — Outcome 10201434, $993 (50% win rate)
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