Part of: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito will announce his retirement by July 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves “Yes” for any qualifying retirement announcement from Alito, even if the retirement takes effect later, and “No” if no such announcement is made by the deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $2,333 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,333.

Categories: Supreme Court , Courts, Politics, Alito

Notable Trades

Profitable political market regular

Experienced cross-market political trader with $157k lifetime profit is buying No, suggesting a broader thesis against Alito retirement despite recent Yes momentum.

  • This bettor has traded 1,536 resolved markets and is up $157k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 253 related markets and nearly $1M flagged in similar flows.
  • Buying No at 89¢ goes against the recent 5-point move toward Yes.

$2,333 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x69c5...1e01 Outcome 35660178, $676,372 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x3561...0087 Outcome 35660178, $30,488
  3. 0xd6ce...be7b Outcome 35660178, $15,021
  4. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 35660178, $9,909 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x7444...ee2e Outcome 35660178, $9,266
  6. 0xfb31...d8ee Outcome 35660178, $5,690
  7. 0xd426...334a Outcome 35660178, $2,340 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x1f9f...a025 Outcome 35660178, $2,000 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x5cce...4b52 Outcome 35660178, $1,796 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x79bf...bcdf Outcome 35660178, $1,737 (73% win rate)

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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

129dWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?$2,333 tracked1 signalSupreme Court CourtsPoliticsAlito

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Notable Trades

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

52d ago

$2,333 on No at 89¢

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