Part of: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito will announce his retirement by July 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves “Yes” for any qualifying retirement announcement from Alito, even if the retirement takes effect later, and “No” if no such announcement is made by the deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $2,333 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,333.
Categories: Supreme Court , Courts, Politics, Alito
Notable Trades
Profitable political market regular
Experienced cross-market political trader with $157k lifetime profit is buying No, suggesting a broader thesis against Alito retirement despite recent Yes momentum.
- This bettor has traded 1,536 resolved markets and is up $157k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 253 related markets and nearly $1M flagged in similar flows.
- Buying No at 89¢ goes against the recent 5-point move toward Yes.
$2,333 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x69c5...1e01 — Outcome 35660178, $676,372 (96% win rate)
- 0x3561...0087 — Outcome 35660178, $30,488
- 0xd6ce...be7b — Outcome 35660178, $15,021
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 35660178, $9,909 (70% win rate)
- 0x7444...ee2e — Outcome 35660178, $9,266
- 0xfb31...d8ee — Outcome 35660178, $5,690
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 35660178, $2,340 (48% win rate)
- 0x1f9f...a025 — Outcome 35660178, $2,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x5cce...4b52 — Outcome 35660178, $1,796 (76% win rate)
- 0x79bf...bcdf — Outcome 35660178, $1,737 (73% win rate)
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