What does this Samuel Alito retirement market predict?

It predicts whether Samuel Alito will announce that he is retiring from his role as Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court by June 30, 2027.

What counts as a “Yes” outcome?

A “Yes” resolution requires a qualifying announcement from Alito that he will retire. The retirement can be immediate, at the end of a Supreme Court term, or scheduled for a future date.

When does the Alito retirement prediction market resolve?

The market is set to resolve based on whether a qualifying retirement announcement is made by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET.

What are smart money traders doing in this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $3,730 in smart money activity for this market, with one recent alert showing a profitable 89% winner buying “No.”

Where can I track Samuel Alito Polymarket odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to monitor Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and updates related to whether Samuel Alito announces retirement by the deadline.

Part of: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

This prediction market asks whether Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito will announce his retirement by June 30, 2027. PolySpotter is tracking $3,730 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent signal from a profitable trader buying “No.” The market resolves “Yes” if Alito makes any qualifying retirement announcement by the deadline, even if the retirement date itself is later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,730.

Categories: Supreme Court , Courts, Politics, Alito

Notable Trades

Profitable 89% winner buys NO

Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the buyer has a strong 102-bet track record and is profitable lifetime.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $19.8k lifetime.
They put $3.7k on No in a relatively thin market with only $7.6k traded in the last 24 hours.
Entry at 49¢ implies they see Alito not announcing retirement by June 2027 as underpriced.

$3,730 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%