Part of: Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by March 31?
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,470.
Categories: Politics, Israel, Iran, Geopolitics, Middle East, Regional Spillover, Military Strikes, strike
Notable Trades
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
A profitable, high-volume cross-market trader with 1,000 resolved bets is buying No at 90¢ across multiple related Middle East strike markets, suggesting a deliberate geopolitical thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- This bettor has 1,000 resolved bets, wins 68% of the time, and is up $123.7k
- They are trading 3 related markets in the same event with $8.6k total, pointing to a broader thesis
- Bought No at 90¢ in a liquid market, signaling confidence the strike will not happen by March 31
$3,470 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0x8213...083b — Outcome 52224805, $49,856
- 0x878f...1755 — Outcome 52224805, $34,408
- 0x23eb...48d8 — Outcome 52224805, $13,520
- 0x9ae6...dd45 — Outcome 52224805, $10,231
- 0xf6a8...7331 — Outcome 52224805, $10,162
- 0x3d77...58c7 — Outcome 52224805, $7,000
- 0xfe24...cc8b — Outcome 52224805, $6,262
- 0xa3a3...c2f9 — Outcome 52224805, $5,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x1d81...5c1e — Outcome 52224805, $4,933
- 0x88ae...809a — Outcome 52224805, $3,918