Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,563.

Categories: World Elections, Global Elections, Politics, Elections, India

Notable Trades

New wallet backing heavy favorite

A 5-day-old wallet has already made several sizeable bets, is modestly profitable, and just put another $2.6k into a political market at 85%, suggesting repeat conviction from a new bettor worth monitoring.

  • This 5-day-old wallet has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts and put $8.7k to work
  • It is 4 for 4 on resolved markets and up $248, though those wins came on very high-probability bets
  • This is a fresh $2.6k addition on the No side at 85¢ in a politics market with decent liquidity

$2,563 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $90,261
  2. 0x149e...cd9a Yes, $23,436
  3. 0xc5d4...5a30 Yes, $6,949
  4. 0x035d...5a61 Yes, $6,417 (83% win rate)
  5. 0x14e2...282f Yes, $5,195 (78% win rate)
  6. 0xda67...a450 Yes, $5,127
  7. 0x7e35...1a6c Yes, $3,546
  8. 0xb092...08fd No, $3,322 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x7b17...51b1 Yes, $3,171
  10. 0xe8dd...ec86 Yes, $2,936 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Resolved$2,563 tracked1 signalWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsPoliticsElectionsIndia
Yes
17¢
No
83¢

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Price History — “No
91¢
84¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

3h ago

$2,563 on No at 85¢

85¢83¢2¢

Related Theses