Part of: West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,975.

Categories: World Elections, Global Elections, Elections, Politics, India, Main Election, Indian Elections

Notable Trades

New whale betting AITC No

A 4-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets on this West Bengal election event, including $5.4k on AITC No and $25.7k total flagged across related markets.

This wallet is only 4 days old but has already placed $25.7k in flagged political bets.
The bettor is taking a clear cross-market view on the same election event, including $5.4k on AITC not winning the most seats.
Entry around 53¢ suggests they see AITC No as more likely than the market’s current 51¢ price.

$5,430 on No

New wallet betting big

A 4-day-old wallet made a repeat large political bet, putting most of $18.6k on AITC Yes while also positioning across another West Bengal election market.

A 4-day-old wallet has now made $22.5k in flagged large bets.
The main move is $16.4k on AITC Yes at 51¢, treating this 2026 election market as mispriced near a coin flip.
The same wallet is active across 2 related election markets, suggesting a broader West Bengal thesis.

$18,620 on Yes

3-wallet cluster buying NO

A 4-day-old wallet in a known 3-wallet funded cluster bought $4k of NO on a liquid West Bengal election market, suggesting coordinated early positioning rather than a proven sharp record.

Three wallets funded by the same address are aligned on this side of the market.
This 4-day-old wallet bought $4,042 of No across two trades at 48¢.
The bet is early in a major political market, with No priced as the underdog at 48¢.

$4,042 on No | Wallet win rate: 0%

New repeat whale buying Yes

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor with early profits is taking a fresh $3.7k Yes position in a plausible politics market, though the track record is still short.

This 6-day-old wallet is already placing repeat large bets, with $7.4k flagged across 4 positions.
The wallet is up $3.8k so far, though only 2 resolved bets have finished.
Entry at 53¢ suggests they see value in a near-even political market that has already moved up 5 points this week.

$3,680 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

New wallet backing Yes

Brand-new wallet is repeatedly deploying capital across related West Bengal election markets, including a fresh Yes buy near 49¢ amid recent upward price momentum.

A wallet less than 2 days old has already made $7.1K in flagged political bets.
The bettor bought Yes at 49¢, just below the current 50–51¢ market.
AITC odds are up 6 points in the last day, so this trade is aligned with fresh momentum.

$2,204 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10604277, $300,728
0x4c8c...e36f — Outcome 92772662, $36,712 (100% win rate)
0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 92772662, $25,496 (78% win rate)
0x061f...9581 — Outcome 92772662, $21,694
0xa022...77f8 — Outcome 92772662, $16,927 (71% win rate)
0x893b...3bd3 — Outcome 92772662, $11,638
0x26ce...3242 — Outcome 92772662, $11,433
0xa7a3...7739 — Outcome 92772662, $10,688
0x5334...1db6 — Outcome 92772662, $9,099
0x5d6d...5ffb — Outcome 92772662, $8,216

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Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

ResolvedWest Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner$33,975 tracked5 signalsWorld ElectionsGlobal ElectionsElectionsPoliticsIndiaMain ElectionIndian Elections

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).