Part of: Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,587.
Categories: Oil, Iran, Yemen, Houthis, Geopolitics, Middle East
Notable Trades
Proven high-volume bettor buys No
A highly experienced bettor with 326 resolved trades and a meaningful edge opened a fresh No position in a substantial event market.
- This bettor has won 75% of 326 resolved trades and is up $691,629 lifetime.
- Their results exceed the odds paid by about 16%, making this a credible directional position rather than a routine wager.
- They bought No at 66¢ while the market currently implies 63%, indicating the position has moved slightly against them.
$1,254 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp bettor scaling into No
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate is adding to a sizable No position in a relatively liquid geopolitical market.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $108,183 overall.
- They are adding $1,002 to an existing $3,000 No position, signaling increased conviction.
- The No entry at 56¢ offers a modest edge if the trader’s track record remains informative.
$1,002 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Serial event trader riding breakout
High-volume cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L added to Yes during a major breakout in a geopolitically news-sensitive market.
- This bettor has traded $9.0M across 208 markets and is up about $254k lifetime.
- Yes has jumped 45 points in a day, and this buy came as the market broke far above its prior range.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position at 74¢, with the market already near 83¢.
$1,077 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Serial event trader riding breakout
High-volume cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L added to Yes during a major breakout in a geopolitically news-sensitive market.
- This bettor has traded $9.0M across 208 markets and is up about $254k lifetime.
- Yes has jumped 45 points in a day, and this buy came as the market broke far above its prior range.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position at 74¢, with the market already near 83¢.
$2,554 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Serial event trader riding breakout
High-volume cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L added to Yes during a major breakout in a geopolitically news-sensitive market.
- This bettor has traded $9.0M across 208 markets and is up about $254k lifetime.
- Yes has jumped 45 points in a day, and this buy came as the market broke far above its prior range.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position at 74¢, with the market already near 83¢.
$2,495 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
84% serial cross-market winner
Proven 84% winner and serial cross-market trader is adding to a No position on a geopolitical market with recent price momentum in the same direction.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $35K lifetime.
- They have traded across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable research edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They are adding to an existing No position at 59¢ after Yes fell 22.5% in the last day.
$1,189 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Serial cross-market winner adding
Moderately interesting because a serial cross-market trader with a 43-3 resolved record is adding to a meaningful No position, and the market now offers a cheaper entry than their buys.
- This serial cross-market bettor has won 43 of 46 resolved trades and is up $17.8k.
- They added $4.6k to No and already hold about $10k on this market.
- Current No is 60¢, cheaper than their 69–72¢ entries.
$4,616 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Proven bettor adding Yes
A profitable 77% winner is adding to a Yes position on a geopolitics market that has already moved sharply upward today.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $10.9k lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing Yes position, now about $3.5k invested near 40¢.
- Yes is up 22.5 points today, suggesting broader momentum behind the same thesis.
$1,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xb4f2...e5fa — Outcome 10634286, $14,241 (76% win rate)
- 0x85a8...9281 — Outcome 10634286, $5,032 (93% win rate)
- 0x6af7...5a6f — Outcome 10634286, $4,400 (83% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 10634286, $3,280 (76% win rate)
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 10634286, $3,026
- 0x9952...2edb — Outcome 10634286, $2,000
- 0x1308...45c6 — Outcome 10634286, $1,833
- 0x8c66...44f3 — Outcome 10634286, $1,778 (83% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 10634286, $1,489
- 0xa55f...4f15 — Outcome 10634286, $1,202 (100% win rate)
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Iran peace deal won’t happen
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Iran deal by mid-June
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WTI stays between $90 and $105
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Iran closes airspace mid-May
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