Cross-Market Thesis

No Iran deal by May

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? are correlated outcomes, committing $11,221 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x35bbb75% win rate

Total

$11,221

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $3,493 @ 64¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
    $6,347 @ 53¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $1,381 @ 79¢