Part of: Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,139.
Categories: Trump, Israel, Middle East, Iran, Politics, Geopolitics, Khamenei, Oil
Notable Trades
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought No at 90¢ in a geopolitically sensitive market, making this a credible sharp-style position despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 75% of 910 resolved trades and is up $229k lifetime
- They have traded 286 markets across 116 related events, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 90¢ in a live geopolitics market, implying they see the strike risk as lower than current odds suggest
$3,139 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%
Related Theses
Iran keeps airspace open
Covers 5 related markets