Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
4 signals across 2 markets · $8,295 tracked · resolves Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 86% winner backs No
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate and nearly $390k in profit is backing No at 90¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest ticket size.
$1,350Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0 - 85% winner buys No
A proven high-volume wallet with an 85% win rate and nearly $397k in profit is buying No at 89¢ in a geopolitics market, fitting a serial cross-market bettor worth following despite modest size.
$2,670Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0 - Proven event trader buying No
Surface this because a high-volume, profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,254 resolved bets is buying No on a geopolitical event market after a sharp weekly move lower.
$1,136Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.0 - Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought No at 90¢ in a geopolitically sensitive market, making this a credible sharp-style position despite only one signal.
$3,139Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe73874…df65$4,275 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 68% wins
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$4,020 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins