Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
4 signals across 2 markets · $8,295 tracked · resolves Mar 31, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction markets on whether Iran’s Kharg Island oil terminal will be hit by a qualifying kinetic strike by the listed deadlines, including March 31 and April 30. PolySpotter has tracked $8,295 in smart money activity across the event, with recent alerts showing proven and high-win-rate traders buying “No.”
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 86% winner backs No
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate and nearly $390k in profit is backing No at 90¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest ticket size.
$1,350Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0 - 85% winner buys No
A proven high-volume wallet with an 85% win rate and nearly $397k in profit is buying No at 89¢ in a geopolitics market, fitting a serial cross-market bettor worth following despite modest size.
$2,670Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0 - Proven event trader buying No
Surface this because a high-volume, profitable serial cross-market trader with 1,254 resolved bets is buying No on a geopolitical event market after a sharp weekly move lower.
$1,136Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0 - Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong long-term record bought No at 90¢ in a geopolitically sensitive market, making this a credible sharp-style position despite only one signal.
$3,139Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe73874…df65$4,275 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xfc2f4f…10c7$4,020 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 79% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Kharg Island oil terminal being hit?
This hub tracks the live prediction-market pricing across the related Kharg Island markets, including the March 31 and April 30 deadlines. Check the current market prices to see how traders are valuing the chance of a qualifying strike.
What is smart money doing on the Kharg Island oil terminal markets?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show smart money leaning toward “No,” including an 86% winner backing No, an 85% winner buying No, and a proven event trader buying No.
What outcomes are being traded in this event?
The event covers whether the Kharg Island oil terminal is hit by a qualifying kinetic strike before specific deadlines. Child markets include separate Yes/No outcomes for March 31 and April 30.
When do the Kharg Island prediction markets resolve?
The March market resolves based on whether a qualifying strike occurs by March 31, 2026, while the related April market extends the deadline to April 30, 2026. Resolution depends on the market rules and accepted reporting sources.
What counts as a “Yes” in this market?
A “Yes” requires the Kharg Island oil terminal to be the subject of a qualifying kinetic strike during the covered period. Intercepted missiles or drones and surface-to-air missile strikes alone are not sufficient under the stated rules.