Part of: Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $364,366.
Categories: World, World Elections, Elections, Global Elections, Hungary, Macro Election 1, Politics, Hungary Election
Notable Trades
Pro bettor flips to Yes
A proven high-volume bettor with a 74% win rate flipped from a previously closed No position to a fresh $3.9k Yes buy before and during strong upward momentum in a major political market.
- This bettor has won 223 of 303 resolved markets and is up about $194k lifetime.
- They opened a fresh $3.9k Yes position at 87¢ after previously closing out a No bet on this market.
- The market has surged 20 points in a day, and their 87¢ entry is already marked at 92¢.
$3,919 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
97% win-rate contrarian
A bettor with a 97% win rate bought NO against a fast-rising political favorite, making this a small but notable contrarian trade worth watching.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades, with 28 wins in 29 bets.
- They bought NO at 14¢ while the market prices YES at 88%, a clear contrarian stance.
- The market is up 16 points in a day, so this trade is fading strong recent momentum.
$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
24-for-24 politics sharp
A bettor with a perfect 24-for-24 record and strong edge is buying into a fast-rising major politics market, making this worth following despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 24 of 24 resolved trades and is up $53.8k, which makes them one of the stronger wallets to track.
- They bought Yes at 89¢ even after the market jumped 17 points in a day, suggesting they still see Péter Magyar as undervalued.
- This is a major political market with deep liquidity and heavy volume, so the move looks more like informed conviction than noise.
$1,962 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet repeating big bets
A 7-day-old wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets and just put another $5,000 into a fast-rising, high-signal political market, suggesting real conviction worth watching.
- This 7-day-old wallet has already been flagged 14 times for large bets, with $56.8k in similar activity.
- They just bought Yes at 88¢ in a major political market that is up 19 points in a day and 24 points in a week.
- Paying 88¢ in a liquid market suggests strong conviction that Péter Magyar is very likely to become prime minister.
$5,000 on Yes
94% win-rate macro bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 94% win rate bought into a fast-rising Hungary PM market, making this a credible follow despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $155k across 123 settled bets.
- They trade heavily across politics and macro markets — 110 markets in 64 events with nearly $2.9M deployed.
- They bought at 88¢ while the market is still climbing, with price up 19 points in 1 day.
$1,760 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable event trader flips bullish
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 835 resolved bets flipped from a previously closed No position into a fresh Yes buy as this market is breaking higher.
- This bettor has made 835 resolved bets, wins 57% of them, and is up about $731k overall
- They trade across related markets at scale — 102 markets across 47 events for about $402k tracked
- This is a fresh Yes position at 87¢ after closing an older No bet, with the market now up to 90¢ after a 19-point 1-day move
$1,624 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%
74% win-rate political bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a strong 74% hit rate just opened a fresh Yes position in a fast-rising, high-signal political market after previously closing the opposite side.
- This bettor has won 223 of 303 resolved markets and made about $195k in profit.
- They trade across many related events — 90 markets over 62 events — which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- This is a fresh $7.6k buy on Yes at 87¢ after closing an older No position, while the market is already up 15.5 points in a day.
$7,615 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
87% win-rate contrarian
A highly profitable 87% win-rate trader with broad cross-market event activity is taking a fresh contrarian No position against a fast-rising Hungary PM favorite at 16¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up $243k across 189 bets.
- They trade across related markets repeatedly — 31 events and 67 markets suggest a strong event-driven process.
- They bought No at 16¢ while Péter Magyar has surged to 84%, a cheap contrarian entry if the market is overconfident.
$1,280 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
New wallet event specialist
A 2-day-old wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into this Hungary election event, and this trade adds fresh bullish exposure to the favorite as momentum accelerates.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 7 large-bet alerts with $32.9k flagged, showing unusually aggressive early sizing.
- This trade is effectively a buy on Péter Magyar at 85¢, adding to a market that is already up 14 points in a day.
- The bettor is active across 2 related Hungary election markets, suggesting a focused event thesis rather than a one-off punt.
$1,860 on Yes
Profitable macro trader flips bullish
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate just opened a fresh Yes position after previously closing the opposite side in a fast-rising, highly liquid Hungary PM market.
- This bettor has won 223 of 303 resolved trades and is up about $195k overall.
- They trade across political events at scale — 62 events and 90 related markets flagged with the same pattern.
- This is a fresh Yes entry at 82¢ after closing an older No position, while the market is up 18 points in a week.
$3,178 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11480206, $5,206,180
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — Outcome 94192784, $631,157 (73% win rate)
- 0xfd22...ad91 — Outcome 11480206, $408,232 (53% win rate)
- 0xcf60...47ce — Outcome 94192784, $397,852 (46% win rate)
- 0xe5c2...2ab0 — Outcome 94192784, $294,117 (93% win rate)
- 0xca76...28b3 — Outcome 11480206, $284,406 (76% win rate)
- 0xf38e...a38a — Outcome 94192784, $281,842
- 0xc5ad...b0cf — Outcome 11480206, $214,936
- 0x88b5...205c — Outcome 94192784, $210,986 (37% win rate)
- 0x4488...e319 — Outcome 94192784, $179,190 (54% win rate)
