Part of: Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
47 smart money signals detected, totaling $615,118.
Categories: World, World Elections, Elections, Global Elections, Hungary, Macro Election 1, Politics, Hungary Election
Notable Trades
New whale pressing No
A 1-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put nearly $12k into No on a major politics market as the price moved further in its favor.
- A 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts, with $26.9k flagged in total
- This is a fresh $12k position on a major political market, not routine profit-taking
- Bought No at 88¢ and the market is now 92¢, showing immediate momentum behind the bet
$11,959 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
88% win-rate political bettor
A highly profitable cross-market political trader with an 88% win rate bought No after a sharp move, backing the market’s anti-Orbán direction with fresh capital.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $920k lifetime
- They trade across 121 markets in 74 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought No at 87¢ after the market swung hard this week, adding follow-through to the recent move against Orbán
$1,721 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
84% win-rate political bettor
A proven profitable political trader with an 84% win rate is taking a fresh cross-market position on Orbán not returning as Hungary's next prime minister.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $303k overall.
- They trade across 45 events and 82 markets, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought No at 84¢ in a liquid market after a 20-point weekly move, backing the current favorite with a sharp track record.
$1,087 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
84% win-rate political bettor
A high-performing serial political trader with an 84% win rate bought No in a major Hungary PM market after a sharp move, making this a credible followable position despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $303k lifetime.
- They have traded 82 markets across 45 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought No at 85¢ after the market moved hard lower, backing the current favorite in a major, liquid political market.
$2,342 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
84% winner reloading No
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate reopened a sizable No position in a major political market after previously trading it, which is still worth surfacing despite limited signal diversity.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought No at 84¢ in a major politics market after the price already moved hard against Yes.
- This is a liquid market, so the signal comes from the bettor’s track record more than market impact.
$4,244 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
New wallet pressing NO
A 2-day-old wallet has already made six large flagged bets and is selling Orbán at 16¢ into a sharp recent drop, suggesting a repeat high-conviction political thesis rather than random activity.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling about $31k
- The trade adds to a cross-market political thesis, with about $16k deployed across 2 related markets
- Selling Yes at 16¢ is equivalent to buying No at 84¢ after a 12-point 1-day drop
$1,019 on No
New wallet pressing NO
A 4-day-old wallet has already made repeated four-figure bets across this election event, and its latest buy adds to bearish momentum against Orbán at a time when market odds have been moving sharply lower.
- A 4-day-old wallet has already made 5 notable bets totaling $17.7k, which stands out as fast, repeated conviction.
- This trade backs No at 79¢ while Orbán odds have fallen 14 points over the past week, matching the market's recent direction.
- The position was opened in a deep election market with a tight 1¢ spread, suggesting deliberate sizing rather than a one-off shot in a thin book.
$1,191 on No
82% win-rate political bettor
A proven 82% win-rate bettor with activity across 29 events is taking the No side in a major political market after a sharp recent move, making this a credible thesis worth following.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved markets and has made money across 50 settled bets.
- They trade across many related markets — 29 events and 36 markets — which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought No at 77¢ after this market moved 11 points lower over the past week, backing the view that Orbán is unlikely to return.
$2,310 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
12-wallet sharp cluster
A highly profitable 85% win-rate bettor from a 12-wallet linked cluster is buying the same political event, making this a strong signal despite the modest ticket size in a deep market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.26M lifetime across more than 1,000 bets.
- 12 wallets tied to the same funder have been tracked before, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- They bought No at 79¢ in a major 2026 Hungary market, backing the recent move as Orbán's odds have fallen 12 points over the past week.
$2,334 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Profitable politics cross-market bettor
A highly active cross-market trader with nearly 1,000 resolved bets and $295k profit made a sizable fresh buy on No in a major politics market, aligning with existing market momentum.
- This bettor has 994 resolved bets, a 56% win rate, and is up $295k overall.
- They placed an $18.3k buy on No in a major election market after trading 56 markets across 37 related events.
- The market is already drifting against Orbán, and this bet entered near 73¢ with tight spreads and deep liquidity.
$18,250 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 17928724, $5,206,180
- 0xfd22...ad91 — Outcome 16894424, $2,688,297 (53% win rate)
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — Outcome 17928724, $674,279 (73% win rate)
- 0xca76...28b3 — Outcome 16894424, $270,843 (76% win rate)
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Outcome 17928724, $149,219 (86% win rate)
- 0xe5c2...2ab0 — Outcome 17928724, $140,833 (93% win rate)
- 0x33b8...7e29 — Outcome 16894424, $126,954
- 0xde92...5e10 — Outcome 16894424, $115,365 (48% win rate)
- 0xafba...e61b — Outcome 16894424, $111,894 (69% win rate)
- 0x9956...15ef — Outcome 16894424, $107,212 (50% win rate)
