Part of: Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,232.
Categories: Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran, Middle East, Iran, Strait of Hormuz, Oil, Naval
Notable Trades
83% win-rate geopolitics bettor
A proven 83% win-rate trader reopened a position in a fast-moving geopolitics market after previously closing lower, suggesting a fresh directional thesis rather than routine profit-taking.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and has made 35 bets across 28 related events.
- They bought Yes at 82¢ and the market is already up to 88¢ after a sharp 70-point move in a day.
- This is a fresh re-entry after closing an earlier Yes position, which suggests renewed conviction rather than taking profits.
$1,206 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable geopolitical regular
A proven profitable cross-market trader with a 72% win rate bought into a fast-moving geopolitics market, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 72% of 1,134 resolved markets and is up $215k lifetime.
- They trade across many related events with $1.19M tracked volume, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Yes at 85¢ in a market that is up 62 points in a day, showing willingness to pay for strong momentum.
$1,026 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x5273...b684 — Outcome 43443732, $18,408
- 0xb1fe...423a — Outcome 43443732, $8,441
- 0x0a76...2170 — Outcome 43443732, $8,289
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 43443732, $6,805 (40% win rate)
- 0x5a7b...e9eb — Outcome 43443732, $5,168 (86% win rate)
- 0xcc26...32ca — Outcome 43443732, $3,555 (37% win rate)
- 0x7a61...af24 — Outcome 43443732, $3,032
- 0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 43443732, $2,830
- 0x0435...cf1d — Outcome 43443732, $2,214
- 0x9952...2edb — Outcome 43443732, $2,000
