Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
2 signals across 1 market · $2,232 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether qualifying national warships transit the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, with the current listed market focused on the United States. PolySpotter has flagged $2,232 in smart-money activity across 2 signals, including action from an 83% win-rate geopolitics bettor and a profitable geopolitical regular.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 83% win-rate geopolitics bettor
A proven 83% win-rate trader reopened a position in a fast-moving geopolitics market after previously closing lower, suggesting a fresh directional thesis rather than routine profit-taking.
$1,206Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.0 - Profitable geopolitical regular
A proven profitable cross-market trader with a 72% win rate bought into a fast-moving geopolitics market, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
$1,026Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4133f8…ea5d$1,206 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xe73874…df65$1,026 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What is the Strait of Hormuz warship prediction market about?
It asks whether a listed country’s military vessel, including support or cargo vessels, will pass through the Strait of Hormuz by the market deadline. The current child market in this event focuses on whether the United States will send warships through the strait.
What are the Polymarket odds for U.S. warships transiting the Strait of Hormuz?
The live odds move as traders buy and sell shares on Polymarket. PolySpotter tracks the market alongside smart-money alerts so you can see not just the price, but whether experienced geopolitics bettors are taking positions.
Who is betting on this Strait of Hormuz market?
Recent PolySpotter alerts flagged activity from an 83% win-rate geopolitics bettor and a profitable geopolitical regular. In total, PolySpotter has tracked $2,232 in smart-money activity across this event.
What would make this market resolve to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if a national government, military source, or broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country’s warship transited the Strait of Hormuz by the deadline.
When does this warship transit market resolve?
The event is set to resolve based on whether the qualifying transit occurs by April 30, 2026, according to the market rules.