Event

Fed Decision in June?

4 signals across 1 market · $41,102 tracked · resolves Jun 17, 2026

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Markets (1)

  1. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?4 signals · $41,102 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

    An 82% win-rate macro trader with nearly $588k in profit is making a $15.5k cross-market bet on Fed rates, a strong copy-trade signal despite the market already trading rich.

    $15,522Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.9
  2. 83% macro trader fades consensus

    A proven high-win-rate macro trader sold the crowded 90% 'no change' side, which translates into a notable buy signal on 'Yes change' from a bettor with a strong cross-market track record.

    $14,057Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 8.0
  3. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

    A high-volume macro trader with an 82% win rate across 263 resolved bets is adding to a Fed thesis, making this a credible sharp-flow signal despite the rich price.

    $8,163Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 7.0
  4. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

    LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

    $3,360Wallet win rate: 0%Score: 2.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x71edffd338$37,742 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 83% wins
  2. 0x28d23838ae$3,360 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins

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