Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
This Polymarket tracks whether TISZA will win at least 120 seats in Hungary’s parliamentary election scheduled for April 12, 2026. The market resolves Yes if TISZA reaches 120 or more seats in the Hungarian National Assembly, and No otherwise. If the result is not definitively known by October 31, 2026, the market resolves to No.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,095.
Categories: Elections, Magyar, Politics, Hungary Election, Global Elections, Orban, Hungary, Fidesz
Notable Trades
87% win-rate political bettor
A proven sharp wallet with an 87% win rate is taking a fresh cross-market position on Tisza underperformance, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $243.6k lifetime
- They have traded 65 markets across 29 related events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven edge
- Bought No at 55¢ while this market has fallen 6 points in a day, aligning with recent bearish momentum
$1,095 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0x629b...995a — Yes, $10,553 (57% win rate)
- 0x784f...5df9 — No, $6,802 (87% win rate)
- 0xbc58...5fd0 — Yes, $4,000
- 0x4be5...c1b3 — No, $2,500 (82% win rate)
- 0xa665...d7d9 — No, $2,262
- 0xaf3f...4ffa — No, $2,226
- 0xed5a...2056 — No, $1,829
- 0xde04...fa37 — Yes, $1,628 (54% win rate)
- 0xad28...1601 — No, $1,400
- 0x74b9...47ce — No, $1,368
