Part of: Hungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?

Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,000.

Categories: Elections, Magyar, Politics, Hungary Election, Global Elections, Orban, Hungary, Fidesz

Notable Trades

Profitable new election whale

A profitable new wallet is repeatedly making large election bets, and this buy came during an exceptional volume and price surge in a major Hungary seats market.

This 21-day-old wallet has already been flagged 3 times, shows about $15.2k profit, and just added another $8.9k to the same election theme.
The market saw a 68x volume spike and a 38-point move in a day, so this buy lines up with strong one-way momentum.
They bought Yes at 90¢ and the market is already at 94¢, signaling conviction even at a very high implied probability.

$8,905 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

87% win-rate political bettor

A proven sharp wallet with an 87% win rate is taking a fresh cross-market position on Tisza underperformance, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $243.6k lifetime
They have traded 65 markets across 29 related events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven edge
Bought No at 55¢ while this market has fallen 6 points in a day, aligning with recent bearish momentum

$1,095 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0x1d3e...5c4e — Outcome 10457816, $58,831 (0% win rate)
0xf2f6...5817 — Outcome 10457816, $8,000 (75% win rate)
0x784f...5df9 — Outcome 10457816, $6,550 (86% win rate)
0x3590...8d0a — Outcome 10457816, $6,018
0xc4fd...fe19 — Outcome 10457816, $5,483 (93% win rate)
0x414b...0d3f — Outcome 10457816, $5,404
0xad28...1601 — Outcome 10457816, $3,600
0x4be5...c1b3 — Outcome 10457816, $2,500 (82% win rate)
0x41c7...3093 — Outcome 10457816, $1,339
0x6bb5...a518 — Outcome 10457816, $783 (44% win rate)

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Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?

ResolvedHungary Election: TISZA wins___seats?$10,000 tracked2 signalsElectionsMagyarPoliticsHungary ElectionGlobal ElectionsOrbanHungaryFidesz

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).