Part of: Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
This prediction market asks whether Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin’s next qualifying in-person meeting will take place in China before December 31, 2026. It resolves to the meeting location, or “No meeting by December 31” if no qualifying encounter occurs; the market currently has $1,903 in tracked smart money and one signal.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,316.
Categories: Politics, putin, Russia, Trump Presidency, World, Geopolitics, Ukraine, Trump, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly experienced, profitable trader with a substantial betting history is buying Yes at 72¢, though the alert has no direct win-rate signal for this market.
- This bettor has resolved 9,825 bets and is up $208,350 overall.
- They have traded across 227 events and are buying Yes at 72¢.
- The market has risen 12% over the past week, supporting the direction of this bet.
$1,162 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
Serial trader adding to Yes
A serial cross-market trader with 435 resolved bets is adding a sizable position, though its 93% win rate is not clearly above its 0.93 average win price.
- This bettor has a 93% win rate across 435 resolved bets and has traded across 26 events.
- They added $2,251 to an existing Yes position, a sizable trade relative to the market’s $6,519 in 24-hour volume.
- The entry at 69¢ is near the current market price, so the signal is conviction rather than an obvious discount.
$2,251 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp serial trader buys No
A highly profitable serial trader with a 76% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,903 bet on No despite the market pricing No at 46%.
- This bettor wins 76% of 85 resolved positions and is up $118,787 lifetime.
- The $1,903 fresh bet backs No at 51%, while the market currently prices No at 46%.
- The wallet has traded across 34 events and 47 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable strategy rather than a one-off wager.
$1,903 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $63,121
- 0x8afa...adb6 — Yes, $14,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x5d2f...4adb — No, $7,697 (59% win rate)
- 0x524d...4495 — No, $5,200 (77% win rate)
- 0x9cdd...3e97 — Yes, $5,038 (84% win rate)
- 0x66c1...fa3f — Yes, $4,999 (65% win rate)
- 0x5372...4b1f — Yes, $4,823 (88% win rate)
- 0x0130...274c — Yes, $4,004 (97% win rate)
- 0x05df...882d — Yes, $3,682 (71% win rate)
- 0xbbe3...5b92 — No, $3,679
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