Part of: Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Donald Trump will announce no specific pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026. The market resolves based on the first qualifying announcement from Trump or his administration naming an intended DNI nominee, even if no formal nomination follows. PolySpotter is tracking $2,670 in smart money activity and 1 signal in this market.

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,670.

Categories: Politics, Trump, Tulsi Gabbard, DNI, Trump Cabinet, nominate

Notable Trades

Profitable serial political bettor

Experienced cross-market bettor with positive lifetime P&L made a relatively large No buy on a quiet political market, exceeding recent daily volume.

  • This bettor has traded 85 markets across 53 events and is up about $78.7k lifetime.
  • The $2.7k buy was larger than the market’s recent daily volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
  • They bought No at 74¢, implying confidence Trump announces a DNI pick before the deadline.

$2,670 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x696a...e23a No, $5,955 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x355c...e6d4 Yes, $3,174 (48% win rate)
  3. 0x4a2b...af20 Yes, $1,000 (45% win rate)
  4. 0x755d...6acc No, $600
  5. 0xd52b...5c72 Yes, $586 (58% win rate)
  6. 0x21ff...0d71 Yes, $454
  7. 0x096b...bf95 No, $375
  8. 0x6f67...102c Yes, $348
  9. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $326
  10. 0x0a7a...df1b Yes, $250

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Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?

203dWho will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?$2,670 tracked1 signalPoliticsTrumpTulsi GabbardDNITrump Cabinetnominate
Yes
15¢
No
85¢

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be the next Director of National Intelligence. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
92¢
79¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?

1h ago

$2,670 on No at 74¢

74¢85¢11¢

Related Theses