Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $17,230 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0x2525755% win rate

Total

$17,230

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
    $4,211 @ 73¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
    $3,533 @ 82¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
    $3,340 @ 75¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
    $3,779 @ 52¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
    $1,280 @ 73¢
  6. 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
    $1,087 @ 68¢