Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?
This prediction market asks whether Donald Trump will say the word “Hottest” during events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14–15, 2026, Beijing Time. It resolves Yes if Trump says the listed term, including plural or possessive forms, during qualifying appearances; otherwise it resolves No. PolySpotter is tracking $1,043 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this Trump-Xi summit mentions market.
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,043.
Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market bettor
Proven profitable wallet with a large 360-bet track record is buying No across related Trump-Xi word markets, making the weak standalone signals worth surfacing.
- This bettor has won 70% of 360 resolved bets and is up $269k lifetime.
- They are positioning across related Trump-Xi word markets, with $3.4k in same-event exposure.
- Entry at 70¢ on No suggests a relatively high-conviction fade of Trump saying this specific word.
$1,043 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x3c59...1766 — No, $1,777 (70% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Yes, $1,260 (22% win rate)
- 0x5207...686b — No, $1,100
- 0x3c5d...1aaa — Yes, $776 (50% win rate)
- 0xf9a2...a79a — Yes, $600 (39% win rate)
- 0x6f67...102c — Yes, $433
- 0x5874...6b11 — No, $396
- 0xafd2...9693 — Yes, $330 (27% win rate)
- 0x75ac...33d7 — Yes, $250
- 0x08ce...f301 — Yes, $193
Related Theses
Trump avoids sensitive words
Covers 2 related markets
