Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
This prediction market tracks whether Donald Trump says “Peng” during events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026, Beijing Time. It resolves Yes if Trump says the listed term, including plural or possessive forms, and No otherwise; PolySpotter is tracking $1,444 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,444.
Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No in a relatively thin term-mention market ahead of the Trump-Xi events.
- This bettor has won 68% of 830 resolved bets and is up $766K lifetime.
- They are a heavy event specialist, trading 118 markets across 79 events with nearly $1M tracked in this pattern.
- The $1.4K No buy is large versus the market’s $1.8K liquidity, showing meaningful conviction.
$1,444 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Top Holders
- 0xecaa...77a9 — No, $5,477 (68% win rate)
- 0x1c14...0869 — Yes, $3,003 (60% win rate)
- 0x4eef...3fcb — Yes, $2,287 (77% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — No, $2,011
- 0x66c1...fa3f — Yes, $2,002 (60% win rate)
- 0x12e4...dfc2 — No, $700
- 0xaa99...dbbf — Yes, $500 (61% win rate)
- 0x2f2b...0f9a — No, $468 (94% win rate)
- 0x0cb1...a76c — Yes, $400
- 0x08ce...f301 — Yes, $284
