Part of: What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

This prediction market tracks whether Donald Trump says “Peng” during events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026, Beijing Time. It resolves Yes if Trump says the listed term, including plural or possessive forms, and No otherwise; PolySpotter is tracking $1,444 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,444.

Categories: Trump, Politics, China, Mentions, Trump-Xi Summit

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No in a relatively thin term-mention market ahead of the Trump-Xi events.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 830 resolved bets and is up $766K lifetime.
  • They are a heavy event specialist, trading 118 markets across 79 events with nearly $1M tracked in this pattern.
  • The $1.4K No buy is large versus the market’s $1.8K liquidity, showing meaningful conviction.

$1,444 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xecaa...77a9 No, $5,477 (68% win rate)
  2. 0x1c14...0869 Yes, $3,003 (60% win rate)
  3. 0x4eef...3fcb Yes, $2,287 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xac4a...bf1e No, $2,011
  5. 0x66c1...fa3f Yes, $2,002 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x12e4...dfc2 No, $700
  7. 0xaa99...dbbf Yes, $500 (61% win rate)
  8. 0x2f2b...0f9a No, $468 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x0cb1...a76c Yes, $400
  10. 0x08ce...f301 Yes, $284

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Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

1dWhat will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping? $1,444 tracked1 signalTrumpPoliticsChinaMentionsTrump-Xi Summit
Yes
59¢
No
42¢

Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Xi Jinping from May 14 to May 15, 2026 (https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/04/china/china-us-talks-iran-intl-hnk). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Xi Jinping from May 14 through May 15, 2026 (Beijing Time). All such events featuring both on these dates count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Price History — “Yes
72¢
55¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

2h ago

$1,444 on No at 45¢

45¢42¢3¢

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