Part of: United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,548.

Categories: Politics, World Elections, Elections, Russia, Global Elections, Russia Election, International Election Props

Notable Trades

Serial sharp bettor buys No

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 83% win rate made a concentrated $11.1K bet on No in a relatively thin market.

This bettor wins 83% of trades across 266 resolved positions and has earned $1.38M.
The $11,098 No bet represents 70% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction.
The trader has positioned across 84 events and 112 markets, suggesting an established directional process rather than a one-off wager.

$11,098 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Four-wallet linked No cluster

Four linked wallets deployed $11,451 into No at 77¢ during a 164.6x volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction despite mixed individual track records.

Four linked wallets jointly bought $11,451 of No at 77¢, showing concentrated conviction.
The trades arrived during a 164.6x volume spike in a relatively small market.
One participant is profitable overall, but the group’s broader track records are mixed and the positions appear to add to existing No holdings.

$11,451 on No

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — No, $82,847
0xb1ca...1705 — Yes, $18,192 (55% win rate)
0xfde6...7ed6 — Yes, $16,839 (70% win rate)
0x9648...6825 — Yes, $15,758 (70% win rate)
0x165e...f5aa — No, $10,984 (78% win rate)
0x9fdc...83cd — Yes, $5,818 (0% win rate)
0x551e...b0e0 — Yes, $5,754 (72% win rate)
0x28f7...400c — Yes, $5,410
0x5c14...cc49 — No, $3,800 (86% win rate)
0xd26a...37a2 — Yes, $3,228

Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

ResolvedUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?$22,548 tracked2 signalsPoliticsWorld ElectionsElectionsRussiaGlobal ElectionsRussia ElectionInternational Election Props

Yes

7¢

93¢

Yes

7¢

93¢

Price History — “No”

95¢

87¢

79¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction