Part of: United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,790.

Categories: Politics, World Elections, Elections, Russia, Global Elections, Russia Election, International Election Props

Notable Trades

82% winner re-enters No

A proven 82% winner with nearly $1.5M in lifetime profit is re-entering No on a Russian election market while maintaining a broad cross-market trading record.

This bettor wins 82% of 283 resolved trades and is up nearly $1.47M.
The wallet is re-entering No with $2,353 after previously closing a No position at the same 55¢ price.
No is priced at 55¢ despite the market moving 8.5% higher over the past day, creating a notable contrarian position from a serial cross-market trader.

$5,437 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

82% winner re-enters No

A proven 82% winner with nearly $1.5M in lifetime profit is re-entering No on a Russian election market while maintaining a broad cross-market trading record.

This bettor wins 82% of 283 resolved trades and is up nearly $1.47M.
The wallet is re-entering No with $2,353 after previously closing a No position at the same 55¢ price.
No is priced at 55¢ despite the market moving 8.5% higher over the past day, creating a notable contrarian position from a serial cross-market trader.

$2,353 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 12267002, $151,442
0xfde6...7ed6 — Outcome 36654380, $113,838 (70% win rate)
0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 36654380, $13,098 (82% win rate)
0x9648...6825 — Outcome 36654380, $11,170 (70% win rate)
0x551e...b0e0 — Outcome 12267002, $2,500 (72% win rate)
0x310f...1c68 — Outcome 36654380, $2,360
0xf5e8...9fbd — Outcome 36654380, $2,349
0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 36654380, $1,807 (63% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 36654380, $1,322
0x4f1d...8de2 — Outcome 36654380, $1,294 (74% win rate)

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Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

ResolvedUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?$7,790 tracked2 signalsPoliticsWorld ElectionsElectionsRussiaGlobal ElectionsRussia ElectionInternational Election Props

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Price History — “No”

102¢

78¢

53¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction