Part of: Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,783.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, primary elections, Governor Primary, Republican Primary, Colorado Primary, June 30 Primaries, US Election

Notable Trades

Sharp trader flips to No

Sharp wallet with 86% win rate and +$315k P&L flipped from a prior Yes position into No on a political primary market after major downside momentum.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $315k lifetime.
  • They are a serial political-market trader across 36 events, with the same 86% win rate.
  • They closed a prior Yes position and bought No at 65¢ as the market moved sharply against Victor Marx.

$1,104 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp trader flips to No

Sharp wallet with 86% win rate and +$315k P&L flipped from a prior Yes position into No on a political primary market after major downside momentum.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $315k lifetime.
  • They are a serial political-market trader across 36 events, with the same 86% win rate.
  • They closed a prior Yes position and bought No at 65¢ as the market moved sharply against Victor Marx.

$2,070 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial political bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large long-run sample is buying Yes on a thin, wide-spread Colorado GOP primary market after a sharp pullback.

  • This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up about $908k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 263 markets and 182 events, suggesting a repeatable political-market process.
  • They bought Yes at 73¢ while the market was thin and volatile, with a 16¢ bid-ask spread.

$1,608 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 90354624, $32,717
  2. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 90354624, $13,929 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xc684...2228 Outcome 90354624, $4,002 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xe602...11cd Outcome 90354624, $2,400
  5. 0xc01f...cd8e Outcome 90354624, $1,405 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x9e60...ae42 Outcome 90354624, $1,301 (56% win rate)
  7. 0x11ed...68c7 Outcome 59126332, $450
  8. 0x4ca5...1569 Outcome 59126332, $450
  9. 0xf6aa...178e Outcome 90354624, $409 (86% win rate)
  10. 0x66a7...4f59 Outcome 59126332, $400

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Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

ResolvedColorado Governor Republican Primary Winner$4,783 tracked3 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary electionsGovernor PrimaryRepublican PrimaryColorado PrimaryJune 30 PrimariesUS Election

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Notable Trades

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

73d ago

$1,104 on No at 65¢

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

73d ago

$2,070 on No at 65¢

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

73d ago

$1,608 on Yes at 73¢

Related Theses