MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
12 signals across 2 markets · $115,549 tracked · resolves Aug 4, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the Democratic nominee in Missouri’s 1st congressional district for the 2026 midterms. Traders are currently focused on whether Wesley Bell will win the nomination, with PolySpotter tracking $5,629 in smart money activity and a recent 85% cross-market sharp signal.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Perfect-record bettor adds to linked No position
A perfect-record bettor is adding $34.6K to an existing No position while three linked wallets have committed the same way.
$34,605Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.4 - 84% winner backs Wesley Bell
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is positioning for Wesley Bell, alongside strong recent market momentum.
$1,131Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - 85% cross-market sharp
Proven political bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.07M profit is taking a meaningful No position on a relatively quiet MO-01 nomination market while also trading the related event.
$5,629Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.7 - Profitable serial trader makes large bet
A serial cross-market trader with substantial lifetime profits placed a concentrated $34,159 Yes bet, though the simultaneous No purchase and sharp adverse price move weaken the conviction signal.
$37,057Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 5.6 - 84% winner backs Wesley Bell
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is positioning for Wesley Bell, alongside strong recent market momentum.
$1,830Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - Elite trader turns bearish on Cori Bush
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate is exiting Yes exposure, offering a meaningful bearish signal despite the position being closed at a loss.
$1,522Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - Elite trader turns bearish on Cori Bush
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate is exiting Yes exposure, offering a meaningful bearish signal despite the position being closed at a loss.
$1,411Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - 84% winner backs Wesley Bell
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is positioning for Wesley Bell, alongside strong recent market momentum.
$6,014Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - 84% winner backs Wesley Bell
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is positioning for Wesley Bell, alongside strong recent market momentum.
$1,892Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - 85% cross-market sharp
Proven political bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.07M profit is taking a meaningful No position on a relatively quiet MO-01 nomination market while also trading the related event.
$9,942Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x23d81b…0288$37,276 · 2 markets · 9 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x7bc141…8db4$37,057 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$34,605 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x1fee90…ed5e$6,611 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the MO-01 Democratic primary odds on Polymarket?
The event reflects market-implied odds on who will become the Democratic nominee for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in 2026. The listed child market focuses on whether Wesley Bell will be the nominee.
Who is smart money betting on in the MO-01 Democratic primary?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,629 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent signal labeled as an 85% cross-market sharp alert. Check the live market page for the current direction and size of that positioning.
When does the MO-01 Democratic primary market resolve?
The Democratic primary is scheduled for August 4, 2026. The market resolves based on the candidate who wins the Democratic nomination, using official Democratic sources.
What happens if no Democratic nominee is announced?
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other” under the exchange rules.