Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,091.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable serial oil bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is buying No and has broad cross-market positioning in the same WTI event.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $512K lifetime.
  • They have traded 49 related events and put $23.6K across 5 markets in this WTI event.
  • Buying No at 88¢ shows confidence that WTI will not hit $105 in May.

$3,520 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

82% serial macro sharp

Sharp 82% lifetime winner with $512k profit is buying No and has broad cross-market positioning in the same oil event.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $512k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.0M deployed across 132 related markets.
  • They bought $6.2k of No at 88¢ while also positioning across 5 markets in this same event.

$6,157 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

82% winner oil trader

Sharp, highly profitable cross-market trader bought Yes at 17¢ on a low-probability WTI oil spike market after previously closing both sides.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $511K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $2M deployed across 48 events.
  • Entry at 17¢ implies a high-upside bet on WTI touching $105 in May.

$1,188 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable WTI cross-market whale

Experienced profitable wallet is building a large cross-market WTI thesis, with $775k across 15 related markets despite this specific fill being modest.

  • This wallet is up about $260k lifetime and has deployed $775k across 15 related WTI markets.
  • The bet is part of a broad oil-volatility thesis rather than a one-off small trade.
  • Entry at 14¢ offers long-shot upside if WTI spikes to $105 in May.

$1,605 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%

85% cross-market oil trader

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate is adding a $5k No position as part of a broader WTI thesis.

  • This bettor has won 85% of resolved bets across 26 markets.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with 53 markets and $337k traded across related event themes.
  • This $5k No buy is part of a broader 3-market WTI position totaling $11.4k.

$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

84% winner buying oil spike

Sharp wallet with 84% win rate and +$470k lifetime P&L is effectively buying Yes on WTI hitting $105 after broad cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $470k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 48 events and $1.9M in bets.
  • This trade is effectively buying Yes at 13¢ after the market fell 11 points today.

$4,350 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp cross-market oil bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with an 84% win rate is building a cross-market bullish oil-spike position by effectively buying Yes at 12¢.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $465K lifetime.
  • They have put $22.8K across 5 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Selling No at 88¢ is the same as buying Yes at 12¢, implying a high-upside view that WTI can touch $105 in May.

$2,640 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

99% win-rate oil bettor

Elite 99% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit is buying No on WTI hitting $105, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has won 93 of 94 resolved positions and is up $381,610 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 43 events with a 99% hit rate.
  • Buying No at 89¢ suggests confidence that WTI stays below $105 through May.

$2,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

84% serial macro bettor

Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market trader is buying No on WTI $105 after positioning across five related oil markets.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $463k lifetime.
  • They have traded 48 related events and are now positioned across 5 oil markets worth $22.7k.
  • Buying No at 87¢ suggests confidence that WTI will not reach $105 in May.

$2,606 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable wallet is building a large cross-market thesis across 15 related oil markets, including a fresh Yes buy at 18¢ here.

  • This wallet is up $228k lifetime despite a 42% hit rate, suggesting it may be targeting higher-upside mispriced outcomes.
  • It has positioned across 15 related markets with about $758k total exposure, making this part of a broader commodity-price thesis.
  • Entry at 18¢ implies a roughly 5.6x payout if WTI touches the listed level in May.

$1,394 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2800...9840 Outcome 13389757, $6,395
  2. 0x3e0b...4ff6 Outcome 13389757, $6,324
  3. 0x08d3...2150 Outcome 13389757, $6,234
  4. 0xadbc...81e8 Outcome 13389757, $5,202
  5. 0xa1ab...23c6 Outcome 13389757, $2,862
  6. 0xcc00...0115 Outcome 13389757, $2,344
  7. 0xf9b7...60a4 Outcome 13389757, $2,155 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x5e83...3bb7 Outcome 13389757, $1,999 (40% win rate)
  9. 0x48ee...008c Outcome 13389757, $1,771 (38% win rate)
  10. 0xe2e7...ba4c Outcome 13389757, $1,403

Related Theses

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Iran keeps airspace open

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Iran agreement comes early June

Covers 7 related markets

WTI stays between $90 and $105

Covers 5 related markets

Iran peace deal won’t happen

Covers 12 related markets

Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators

Covers 3 related markets

Iran closes airspace mid-May

Covers 8 related markets

Iran deal by mid-June

Covers 13 related markets

Hormuz blockade persists

Covers 9 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$44,091 tracked16 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

52d ago

$3,520 on No at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

52d ago

$6,157 on No at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

53d ago

$1,188 on Yes at 17¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

53d ago

$1,605 on Yes at 14¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

53d ago

$5,000 on No at 88¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

53d ago

$4,350 on Yes at 13¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

54d ago

$2,640 on Yes at 12¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

54d ago

$2,200 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

54d ago

$2,606 on No at 87¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

54d ago

$1,394 on Yes at 18¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

54d ago

$2,430 on No at 81¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

55d ago

$1,145 on No at 82¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

55d ago

$1,677 on Yes at 20¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

55d ago

$1,557 on Yes at 13¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

55d ago

$1,700 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

55d ago

$4,920 on No at 82¢

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