Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
This Polymarket asks whether active-month WTI crude oil futures will print a 1-minute candle low of $80 or below at any time before the end of April 2026. The market resolves Yes if that threshold is touched even once during the qualifying window, and No if WTI stays above $80 throughout. Resolution is scheduled for April 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,677.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Sharp oil event specialist
A proven high-win-rate trader with nearly $395k in profit is making a fresh cross-market oil thesis bet, buying No at 68¢ in an event where they have already traded 11 related markets.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $395k lifetime
- They have traded 11 markets in this same oil event and 68 related markets overall, showing a repeatable event-level thesis
- They bought No at 68¢, which converts to buying Yes at 32¢ and lines up with a market that has already moved sharply in the last day
$1,677 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $16,961 (43% win rate)
- 0xea79...a9cc — No, $3,096 (66% win rate)
- 0xe738...df65 — No, $2,980 (67% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — No, $2,468 (85% win rate)
- 0x5082...049d — No, $1,000
- 0xa5e3...4d7e — No, $1,000 (28% win rate)
- 0x777f...a1bb — No, $973 (79% win rate)
- 0xa540...0b43 — No, $931
- 0x61e7...6e8b — No, $877 (50% win rate)
- 0xcba7...f187 — No, $795
