Cross-Market Thesis

US-Iran meeting won't happen

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $7,076 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x8597c79% win rate

Total

$7,076

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
    $2,688 @ 84¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
    $2,464 @ 79¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
    $1,925 @ 54¢
US-Iran meeting won't happen — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter