US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,000.

Categories: Politics, Iran Ceasefire, Iran, Vance, Trump, U.S. x Iran, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$5,000 | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa771...42d1 No, $9,181 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x9648...6825 Yes, $7,871 (70% win rate)
  3. 0xda6d...c60f Yes, $682
  4. 0x2f47...d0b0 No, $620 (33% win rate)
  5. 0x7932...5b38 Yes, $459
  6. 0x9812...644f No, $334
  7. 0xfa39...977f Yes, $300 (31% win rate)
  8. 0x9bbd...6e72 Yes, $300
  9. 0x85d5...bbf0 Yes, $299
  10. 0x645a...fd84 No, $299

Related Theses

Covers 9 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

15d$5,000 tracked1 signalPoliticsIran CeasefireIranVanceTrumpU.S. x IranGeopolitics
Yes
45¢
No
56¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
59¢
46¢
34¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

2h ago

$5,000

Related Theses