Cross-Market Thesis

Espriella or Cepeda wins

This trader is expressing a view that Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $8,851 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x3dca882% win rate

Total

$8,851

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $1,748 @ 83¢
  2. 2Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $2,975 @ 42¢
  3. 3Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $4,128 @ 68¢
Espriella or Cepeda wins — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter