Cross-Market Thesis

Ivan Cepeda wins presidency

This trader is expressing a view that Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?, Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? are correlated outcomes, committing $9,980 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0x3dca882% win rate

Total

$9,980

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $7,005 @ 85¢
  2. 2Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
    $2,975 @ 42¢