Cross-Market Thesis

Iran uranium deal in May

This trader is expressing a view that Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?, Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?, Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $25,343 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
    $3,264 @ 73¢
  2. 2Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
    $8,874 @ 89¢
  3. 3Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
    $13,205 @ 78¢