Cross-Market Thesis

Iran deal unlikely soon

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?, and 6 more are correlated outcomes, committing $20,663 to this thesis across 9 prediction markets on Polymarket.

S
Sharp_0xbf4d279% win rate

Total

$20,663

Markets

9

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
    $6,947 @ 89¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
    $2,104 @ 90¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
    $2,142 @ 89¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
    $1,021 @ 82¢
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $1,110 @ 74¢
  6. 6US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
    $2,729 @ 75¢
  7. 7US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
    $1,284 @ 85¢
  8. 8US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
    $1,642 @ 43¢
  9. 9US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
    $1,684 @ 68¢
Iran deal unlikely soon — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter