Cross-Market Thesis

Farage wins over 80% in Clacton

This trader is expressing a view that Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?, Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?, Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? are correlated outcomes, committing $6,362 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
    $1,263 @ 39¢
  2. 2Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
    $1,305 @ 55¢
  3. 3Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
    $3,793 @ 75¢
Farage wins over 80% in Clacton — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter