Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?, Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?, Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? are correlated outcomes, committing $10,830 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xb100457% win rate

Total

$10,830

Markets

3

Positions

  1. 1Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
    $1,166 @ 86¢
  2. 2Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
    $7,425 @ 90¢
  3. 3Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
    $2,238 @ 73¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter