Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0
Smart Money Alert: Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
A proven high-volume trader with a 75% win rate sold No at 81¢ in a geopolitics market, effectively taking the bullish Yes side at a much lower implied price than the market now shows.
Total
$3,297
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$231,321
Analysis
- This bettor has won 180 of 241 resolved trades and has made about $118k overall.
- They trade heavily across related news markets, with 46 events and $2.9M deployed, which suggests a repeatable macro thesis process.
- Selling No at 81¢ is effectively buying Yes around 19¢, while Yes now sits near 9¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 19¢
Detected March 26, 2026 at 10:34 AM