Repeat new-wallet whale

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A 4-day-old wallet has already fired 32 large-bet alerts totaling nearly $90k and is now leaning bearish on a major geopolitics market after a sharp 1-day drop, which makes this a noteworthy conviction/new-wallet pattern despite no resolved track record yet.
Total
$1,901
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
-$1,300
Analysis
- This 4-day-old wallet has already triggered 32 large-bet alerts totaling about $89.6k
- The trade is bearish: selling Yes at 50¢ is equivalent to buying No at 50¢ on a major geopolitics market
- The market fell 21 points in a day, and this bettor is still pressing the No side rather than fading the move
Copy Trade
Buy No at 50¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 8:12 PM