19-wallet sharp cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A proven cross-market bettor with a 71% win rate bought Yes at 29¢, and the wallet belongs to a 19-wallet funded cluster that has shown repeated coordinated activity.
Total
$2,056
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$256,739
Analysis
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up about $279k across 380 settled bets.
- The wallet is part of a 19-wallet funded cluster, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Yes at 29¢ while the market has been drifting lower, suggesting they see the recent drop as mispriced.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 29¢
Detected April 21, 2026 at 9:29 PM