Sharp political cross-market bettor

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
A highly profitable 75%-win-rate serial cross-market trader sold Yes at 40¢, which translates to buying No at 60¢ on a major political market.
Total
$2,082
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$3,280,379
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of 1,022 resolved trades and is up $3.28M lifetime.
- They trade across 82 events and 124 related markets, which suggests a repeatable event-driven edge.
- This sale at 40¢ on Yes is equivalent to buying No at 60¢, showing a clear view against this candidate.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 60¢
Detected April 22, 2026 at 7:08 AM