$1.6M geopolitics bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable high-volume trader with a $1.6M track record is reopening a fresh Yes position in a major geopolitics market after trading this market successfully before.
Total
$2,219
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$1,608,219
Analysis
- This bettor has won 571 of 898 resolved markets and is up about $1.6M overall
- They trade across 59 related markets and 41 events, which suggests a repeatable macro thesis rather than a one-off punt
- This is a fresh Yes entry at 37¢ in a liquid geopolitics market after previously closing positions here
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 37¢
Detected April 25, 2026 at 3:25 AM