94% win-rate bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and strong edge bought No at 61¢ in a major geopolitics market that has been moving against Yes.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$75,266
Analysis
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades across 671 resolved positions and is up $72.8k
- They bought No at 61¢ in a major politics market after a sharp 33-point weekly drop in Yes odds
- Entry at 61¢ is still close to the current 64¢ price, leaving a reasonable follow window
Copy Trade
Buy No at 61¢
Detected April 25, 2026 at 6:59 PM