Repeat new-wallet whale

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
A brand-new wallet has already made 13 large bets totaling $55.7k and just bought Yes at 19¢, a sign of sustained high-conviction positioning rather than a one-off punt.
Total
$4,000
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- This wallet is less than 6 hours old but has already made 13 flagged large bets totaling $55.7k
- The trader bought Yes at 19¢, a low price that implies they think the market is materially underpricing a recovery
- This is fresh conviction, not profit-taking, and the $4,000 buy is meaningful even in a liquid market
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 19¢
Detected April 27, 2026 at 5:24 PM