80% winner fading Paloma
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
A highly profitable wallet with an 80% win rate sold Paloma Valencia Yes at 31¢, which converts to a copyable BUY No at 69¢ on a liquid election market.
Total
$1,457
Trades
1
Win Rate
80%
Wallet P&L
+$637,076
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up about $626k across 1,072 resolved markets.
- They exited Yes at 31¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 69¢ in this election market.
- The market is liquid and Paloma's odds have fallen about 10 points over the past week, matching the bearish view.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 69¢
Detected April 27, 2026 at 5:43 PM