Repeat new-wallet whale

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
A 7-hour-old wallet has repeatedly deployed size across Polymarket and just put another $4,000 into a geopolitical market at 21¢, which is notable enough to watch despite no proven track record yet.
Total
$4,000
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- This wallet is only 7 hours old but has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts totaling about $69.7k
- They bought Yes at 21¢ in a real-world shipping disruption market, a price that implies a roughly 4.8x payout if right
- The bet is meaningful but not market-moving: $4k in a market with $407k 24h volume and over $121k liquidity
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 21¢
Detected April 27, 2026 at 6:37 PM