New whale buying Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
A 12-day-old repeat large bettor with $153.8k in flagged activity is taking a net ~$17.6k Yes position on a geopolitically sensitive shipping market.
Total
$22,184
Trades
2
Wallet P&L
-$1,300
Analysis
- A 12-day-old wallet has made 47 flagged large bets totaling $153.8k.
- They bought nearly $20k of Yes at 53¢, taking the opposite side of a market down 14% this week.
- The Strait of Hormuz market is news-sensitive, so a large new-wallet bet may reflect a timely shipping-data view.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 53¢
Detected April 30, 2026 at 12:27 AM